Mortgage Bailout Is Greeted With Relief, Fresh Questions

Investors cheered the U.S. government's seizure of the nation's two troubled mortgage giants, with stock markets rallying in the U.S. and abroad and mortgage rates falling. But obstacles remain if the Treasury's takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac is to succeed.
Meanwhile, new details emerged of the pressures that led up to Treasury's plan to take the reins of the troubled companies. In the weeks before the government's intervention, nervous foreign finance officials barraged Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve officials to find out what was happening with the mortgage giants, according to people familiar with the matter.Among those expressing concern were Asian investors, including the Chinese, say two people familiar with the matter. Foreign banks' concerns were among the factors that helped prompt the government's move on Sunday to take over Fannie and Freddie, these people say.
Monday's performance of short-term financial indicators -- from mortgage rates to stock prices -- suggests the Bush administration's seizure of Fannie and Freddie might work. At the same time, Treasury and its banking advisers were bombarded with questions about their big gamble. Many in the market warned that it will do little to salve the deeper wounds in the American economy and financial markets.
Wild swings in the Dow Jones Industrial Average betrayed this tension. The blue-chip index soared 347 points in the opening minutes of trading, then fell back 253 points from that peak by lunchtime before rising another 197 points. The Dow industrials finished the day at 11510.74, up 289.78.
Sweeping Intervention
Mr. Paulson's weekend announcement represented one of the most sweeping interventions in financial markets since the Depression, essentially putting the government in charge of helping finance American mortgages. Fannie and Freddie are vital cogs in the housing market, backing three-quarters of all mortgages being made in the U.S. now that bruised Wall Street banks have withdrawn from that market. They hold or back more than $5 trillion in mortgage debt. But as the housing market cratered, investors grew nervous about the companies' capital positions and their ability to weather the storm.
Under the takeover, the government replaced the companies' chief executives and shifted management control to their regulator, the Federal Housing Finance Agency, or FHFA. The government pledged to provide as much as $200 billion to help both firms ride through their expected mortgage-related losses. Mr. Paulson outlined his desire to see both companies begin to reduce the size of their mortgage portfolios beginning in 2010.
The challenges that remain are formidable, ranging from whether Wall Street banks can step into the housing-finance void that the two firms will eventually leave behind, to whether Congress can put aside years of bitter fighting to craft a future for the two mortgage giants it initially created.
If Treasury's intervention is working, mortgage rates should fall. Fannie and Freddie could begin backing more mortgages, at least temporarily. The two companies might loosen their very stringent underwriting rules. And housing demand should get a marginal boost, putting a dent in the nation's glut of unsold homes by enticing potential buyers who have been sitting on the fence because of higher interest rates.
The Treasury will be watching closely to see if the companies need a cash infusion. Under the plan announced Sunday, Treasury can make a capital injection if it determines that the companies' assets have fallen below their liabilities. Most market watchers expect that to happen eventually.
Credit markets reacted positively to the move, as spreads -- the difference between the yields on ultrasafe U.S. Treasury bonds and corporate and mortgage debt -- narrowed. As expected, spreads fell dramatically Monday on Fannie and Freddie's own bonds, as well as on those backed by pools of loans that conform to Fannie and Freddie's standards....more